Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.014560 0.016927 0.019541 0.022639 0.026210 0.030193 0.034973
2026-01-04 0.011371 0.014514 0.018304 0.023201 0.029352 0.036815 0.046549
2026-01-11 0.008721 0.012078 0.016445 0.022524 0.030749 0.041468 0.056481
2026-01-18 0.007011 0.010436 0.015201 0.022283 0.032504 0.046681 0.067796
2026-01-25 0.005658 0.008988 0.013911 0.021668 0.033531 0.050920 0.078267
2026-02-01 0.004683 0.007894 0.012908 0.021239 0.034659 0.055332 0.089465
2026-02-08 0.003971 0.007068 0.012153 0.021021 0.036000 0.060135 0.101777
2026-02-15 0.003345 0.006266 0.011292 0.020464 0.036652 0.063847 0.112716
2026-02-22 0.003053 0.005990 0.011265 0.021294 0.039711 0.071835 0.131708
2026-03-01 0.002684 0.005507 0.010791 0.021239 0.041172 0.077207 0.146751
2026-03-08 0.002284 0.004896 0.009983 0.020432 0.041116 0.079823 0.157069
2026-03-15 0.002016 0.004503 0.009531 0.020236 0.042167 0.084550 0.171812
2026-03-22 0.001904 0.004424 0.009706 0.021341 0.045968 0.095040 0.199106
2026-03-29 0.001754 0.004237 0.009629 0.021912 0.048763 0.103896 0.224248
2026-04-05 0.001527 0.003837 0.009036 0.021292 0.048968 0.107539 0.239173
2026-04-12 0.001360 0.003550 0.008652 0.021073 0.050005 0.113015 0.258585
2026-04-19 0.001192 0.003231 0.008145 0.020496 0.050155 0.116591 0.274280
2026-04-26 0.001057 0.002971 0.007737 0.020092 0.050640 0.120943 0.292187
2026-05-03 0.000950 0.002765 0.007430 0.019887 0.051562 0.126370 0.313148
2026-05-10 0.000840 0.002532 0.007019 0.019359 0.051621 0.129788 0.329779
2026-05-17 0.000802 0.002495 0.007111 0.020147 0.055085 0.141690 0.368155
2026-05-24 0.000732 0.002352 0.006900 0.020095 0.056378 0.148450 0.394645
2026-05-31 0.000643 0.002135 0.006451 0.019331 0.055683 0.150169 0.408648